Friday, April 24, 2026

257 whale trades totalling $26.52M from 168 wallets. Biggest: $4.00M buy No on “US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?” at 99.9¢. 21 of 44 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 26.0 expected (-11.4 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$4.00M 18.3× usual	100%	ForesightOracle	182d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$1.90M 19.1× usual	0%	NotBakerMcKenzie	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$1.06M 22.6× usual	100%	Oddinn	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$1.06M 22.6× usual	100%	Oddinn	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$952.3k 20.4× usual	100%	Oddinn	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$945.3k 20.2× usual	100%	Oddinn	182d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$945.2k 3.0× usual	100%	Ryan888	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$944.3k 20.2× usual	100%	Oddinn	182d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.5¢	$941.5k 20.1× usual	1%	Oddinn	182d ago	excluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 99.5¢	$834.9k	100%	0x0873…326f NEW	182d ago	excluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$799.2k 19.0× usual	100%	66601	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$728.7k 15.6× usual	100%	Oddinn	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$670.5k 16.1× usual	100%	Pestle	182d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.8¢	$583.8k 14.1× usual	100%	Pestle	182d ago	excluded
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	HIGH BUY Spurs @ 57¢	$389.7k 11.1× usual	57%	0xbd14…d62a	183d ago	called	Trade this

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$4.00M

LOW ForesightOracle · 182d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$1.90M

MED NotBakerMcKenzie · 182d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.06M

MED Oddinn · 182d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.06M

MED Oddinn · 182d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$952.3k

MED Oddinn · 182d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$945.3k

MED Oddinn · 182d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$945.2k

LOW Ryan888 · 182d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$944.3k

MED Oddinn · 182d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.5¢$941.5k

MED Oddinn · 182d ago

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.5¢$834.9k

MED New wallet 0x0873…326f · 182d ago

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$799.2k

MED 66601 · 182d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$728.7k

MED Oddinn · 182d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$670.5k

MED Pestle · 182d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$583.8k

MED Pestle · 182d ago

Spurs vs. Trail Blazerscalled

BUY Spurs @ 57¢$389.7k

HIGH 0xbd14…d62a · 183d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

$6.91M · 7 flags

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

$2.80M · 5 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

$2.67M · 3 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

$2.37M · 3 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

$2.00M · 3 flags

Lakers vs. Rockets

$1.93M · 52 flags