Wednesday, March 11, 2026

288 whale trades totalling $10.83M from 167 wallets. Biggest: $2.40M buy No on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?” at 99.8¢. 2 of 8 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.6 expected (-32.6 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$2.40M 8.7× usual	100%	FedWillWin	226d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$1.12M 5.3× usual	0%	Shipoo	226d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$1.02M 3.3× usual	0%	Ryan888	226d ago	excluded
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$185.0k 4.7× usual	100%	geniusMC	226d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Lakers	LOW BUY Lakers @ 99.9¢	$99.9k 3.3× usual	100%	rwo	227d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$97.5k	0%	Shipoo	226d ago	excluded
Timberwolves vs. Lakers	LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢	$96.6k	0%	0x8a6c…0b3f	227d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$93.3k 3.6× usual	0%	Supah9ga	226d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢	$78.6k	65%	jjzz	226d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 77¢	$78.2k 3.6× usual	77%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	226d ago	called	Trade this
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$77.0k 3.3× usual	0%	KingVon99	226d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$76.5k	100%	Pestle	226d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢	$75.0k	66%	0x8a6c…0b3f	227d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢	$74.4k	99%	Pestle	226d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$74.1k	100%	Pestle	227d ago	excluded

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$2.40M

LOW FedWillWin · 226d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$1.12M

MED Shipoo · 226d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$1.02M

MED Ryan888 · 226d ago

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$185.0k

LOW geniusMC · 226d ago

Timberwolves vs. Lakersexcluded

BUY Lakers @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW rwo · 227d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$97.5k

LOW Shipoo · 226d ago

Timberwolves vs. Lakersexcluded

SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢$96.6k

LOW 0x8a6c…0b3f · 227d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$93.3k

LOW Supah9ga · 226d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?missed

BUY Yes @ 65¢$78.6k

LOW jjzz · 226d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 77¢$78.2k

MED PROVEN ScottyNooo · 226d ago

Trade this

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$77.0k

LOW KingVon99 · 226d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$76.5k

LOW Pestle · 226d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?missed

BUY Yes @ 66¢$75.0k

LOW 0x8a6c…0b3f · 227d ago

Trade this

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.3¢$74.4k

LOW Pestle · 226d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$74.1k

LOW Pestle · 227d ago

Most traded markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$8.43M · 207 flags

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?

$859.5k · 26 flags

Timberwolves vs. Lakers

$447.4k · 12 flags

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$185.0k · 1 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$177.5k · 5 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$115.6k · 3 flags