Thursday, March 12, 2026

131 whale trades totalling $4.29M from 73 wallets. Biggest: $703.5k buy No on “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?” at 99.9¢. 1 of 2 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 1.0 expected (+0.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$703.5k 16.9× usual	100%	Pestle	225d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$349.7k 8.4× usual	100%	Pestle	225d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.9¢	$292.1k	100%	Shipoo	225d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$127.4k	100%	Shipoo	225d ago	excluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$127.1k	100%	Shipoo	225d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 78¢	$100.7k 2.8× usual	78%	DonaldinhoTrumpito	225d ago	called	Trade this
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$99.6k 6.5× usual	100%	Olololo	225d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$92.0k 2.2× usual	100%	Pestle	225d ago	excluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$74.0k	100%	Pestle	225d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED SELL No @ 77¢	$67.5k 2.9× usual	23%	anoin123	225d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	MED SELL No @ 95.1¢	$55.0k 2.4× usual	5%	anoin123	225d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	LOW BUY No @ 78¢	$46.3k 2.5× usual	78%	Leebbc	225d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	MED SELL No @ 88¢	$45.1k	12%	anoin123	225d ago	missed	Trade this
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY No @ 74¢	$40.0k	74%	latinalover77	225d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY Yes @ 22¢	$36.7k	22%	Cinibengales	225d ago	missed	Trade this

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$703.5k

MED Pestle · 225d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$349.7k

MED Pestle · 225d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$292.1k

MED Shipoo · 225d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$127.4k

LOW Shipoo · 225d ago

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$127.1k

LOW Shipoo · 225d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 78¢$100.7k

MED DonaldinhoTrumpito · 225d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$99.6k

LOW Olololo · 225d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$92.0k

LOW Pestle · 225d ago

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$74.0k

LOW Pestle · 225d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?missed

SELL No @ 77¢$67.5k

MED anoin123 · 225d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?missed

SELL No @ 95.1¢$55.0k

MED anoin123 · 225d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?called

BUY No @ 78¢$46.3k

LOW Leebbc · 225d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?missed

SELL No @ 88¢$45.1k

MED anoin123 · 225d ago

Trade this

US forces enter Iran by March 31?called

BUY No @ 74¢$40.0k

LOW latinalover77 · 225d ago

Trade this

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?missed

BUY Yes @ 22¢$36.7k

MED Cinibengales · 225d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$2.95M · 80 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$204.9k · 3 flags

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$167.9k · 3 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$163.5k · 8 flags

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$122.9k · 4 flags

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

$122.3k · 5 flags