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What this means. A wallet put $1.12M on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
$1.12M
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 1,125,520 shares in 35 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side35 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)5.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet Shipoo took No (sell) for $1.12M at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $1.12M+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
35 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
0.1%
Size
$1.12M
Placed
Mar 11, 16:52 EDT
Market close
Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Shipoo
Tx
0x8b1054c7…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $1.12M WHALE $1.12M @ 99.9¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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