Wednesday, January 7, 2026

539 whale trades totalling $10.18M from 281 wallets. Biggest: $674.7k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.7¢	$674.7k 16.2× usual	100%	Pestle	289d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 91¢	$388.8k 13.8× usual	91%	0x6d77…b72c	289d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 91¢	$276.4k 9.8× usual	91%	0x6d77…b72c	289d ago	called	Trade this
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	MED SELL No @ 99.4¢	$260.0k 5.7× usual	1%	4gibg4i3o	289d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 90¢	$216.0k 6.1× usual	90%	jwp9999	289d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 91¢	$200.2k 5.6× usual	9%	jwp9999	289d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$192.9k 4.3× usual	99%	4gibg4i3o	289d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$187.3k 5.3× usual	100%	jwp9999	289d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 92¢	$111.4k 2.2× usual	92%	JAHODA	289d ago	called	Trade this
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$107.1k 3.0× usual	99%	jwp9999	290d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$90.0k 2.5× usual	90%	jwp9999	290d ago	called	Trade this
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$53.1k	99%	4gibg4i3o	289d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$52.0k	99%	0x4612…4f8f	290d ago	excluded
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?	MED SELL No @ 96.3¢	$42.6k 2.9× usual	4%	elPolloLoco	289d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	MED SELL No @ 81¢	$41.1k 2.5× usual	19%	redvinny	289d ago	missed	Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$674.7k

MED Pestle · 289d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 91¢$388.8k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 289d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 91¢$276.4k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 289d ago

Trade this

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$260.0k

MED 4gibg4i3o · 289d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 90¢$216.0k

MED jwp9999 · 289d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 91¢$200.2k

MED jwp9999 · 289d ago

Trade this

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$192.9k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 289d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$187.3k

LOW jwp9999 · 289d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 92¢$111.4k

MED JAHODA · 289d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$107.1k

LOW jwp9999 · 290d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 90¢$90.0k

LOW jwp9999 · 290d ago

Trade this

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$53.1k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 289d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$52.0k

LOW 0x4612…4f8f · 290d ago

Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?missed

SELL No @ 96.3¢$42.6k

MED elPolloLoco · 289d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?missed

SELL No @ 81¢$41.1k

MED redvinny · 289d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$4.14M · 257 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$3.07M · 227 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$1.10M · 12 flags

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

$452.8k · 2 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

$439.7k · 6 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$391.4k · 5 flags