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What this means. A wallet put $41.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.1k
SELL No @ 81¢ · 50,955 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betCrypto
What happened
Wallet redvinny took No (sell) for $41.1k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $41.1k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.4%
- Size
- $41.1k
- Placed
- Jan 07, 12:36 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- redvinny
- Tx
- 0x77185f46…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.6k | excluded |