0x8413…5af6

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?+$3No · avg 89¢ → 95.5¢ · $48

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$12.5k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$3,990

Last 30 days −$0 · $595.3k volume · 1,627 trades · since Oct 25, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$10.0k

Open P&L · 19 positions

−$6,009

Closed-position win rate

88%

237 closed

Wallet age · markets

729d

256 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$12.5k	100%	267d ago	excluded

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$12.5k

LOW 0x8413…5af6 · 267d ago

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