Thursday, January 8, 2026

493 whale trades totalling $10.19M from 259 wallets. Biggest: $319.0k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$319.0k 3.5× usual	100%	expectless	288d ago	excluded
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	MED SELL No @ 99.8¢	$299.4k 3.3× usual	0%	expectless	288d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 92¢	$230.2k 8.2× usual	92%	0x6d77…b72c	288d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.4¢	$220.9k 10.2× usual	99%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	288d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$201.3k 4.8× usual	100%	Pestle	288d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$170.4k 4.1× usual	99%	Pestle	288d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$169.3k 4.1× usual	100%	Pestle	288d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$154.5k 3.7× usual	100%	Pestle	288d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$150.6k	100%	0x4bc7…61fb	288d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 93¢	$134.3k 3.2× usual	93%	Pestle	288d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 92¢	$115.0k 3.2× usual	92%	jwp9999	288d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 92¢	$115.0k 3.2× usual	8%	jwp9999	288d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$110.8k 5.1× usual	100%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	288d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢	$104.5k 2.9× usual	1%	jwp9999	288d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 92¢	$100.5k 2.6× usual	92%	0xdd54…b245	288d ago	called	Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$319.0k

LOW expectless · 288d ago

Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$299.4k

MED expectless · 288d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 92¢$230.2k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 288d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$220.9k

MED PROVEN ScottyNooo · 288d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$201.3k

LOW Pestle · 288d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$170.4k

LOW Pestle · 288d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$169.3k

LOW Pestle · 288d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$154.5k

LOW Pestle · 288d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$150.6k

LOW 0x4bc7…61fb · 288d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 93¢$134.3k

MED Pestle · 288d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 92¢$115.0k

MED jwp9999 · 288d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 92¢$115.0k

MED jwp9999 · 288d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$110.8k

LOW PROVEN ScottyNooo · 288d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$104.5k

LOW jwp9999 · 288d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 92¢$100.5k

MED 0xdd54…b245 · 288d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$4.22M · 235 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$3.13M · 190 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$1.14M · 18 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

$340.8k · 7 flags

Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$299.4k · 1 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

$285.4k · 4 flags