← Wallets
−$759Yes · avg 55¢ → 4¢ · $60
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 13 of 13. The prices it paid implied about 10.8 wins, so it did +17.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: +14.4 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+17.1 pts
Called / graded
13/13
Expected from price
10.8
Flagged volume
$658.2k
Sample size13 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±9.9 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$94k13 graded bets in the order they resolved · 13 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) at 51¢) and the edge is +14.4 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
40–60¢
100% vs 51% · n=1
60–80¢
100% vs 74% · n=3
80–100¢
100% vs 89% · n=9
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$145.6k
Last 30 days −$0 · $19.28M volume · 27,764 trades · since Oct 22, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.32M
Open P&L · 305 positions
−$1.01M
Closed-position win rate
76%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
367d
652 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 11 | 11 | 9.6 | +12.8 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +31.8 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +49.0 pts |
History
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xdd54538fc93ad3dbb64afc26554c20c6f6c8b245"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xdd54538fc93ad3dbb64afc26554c20c6f6c8b245.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdd5453…