← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $299.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$299.4k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 300,000 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet expectless took No (sell) for $299.4k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $299.4k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $299.4k
- Placed
- Jan 08, 13:46 EST
- Market close
- Mar 17, 00:03 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- expectless
- Tx
- 0x8fdf4bd0…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-21.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $299.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $52.8k | excluded |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $52.8k | excluded |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |