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What this means. A wallet put $319.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$319.0k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 320,000 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet expectless took No (buy) for $319.0k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $319.0k+3
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $319.0k
- Placed
- Jan 08, 13:48 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- expectless
- Tx
- 0xe394779f…
This wallet's graded record
1/7-21.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded |