Friday, January 9, 2026

272 whale trades totalling $7.79M from 151 wallets. Biggest: $486.1k sell No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.5¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.5¢	$486.1k 15.1× usual	1%	wkmfa518	287d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 93.3¢	$313.1k 11.1× usual	93%	0x6d77…b72c	287d ago	called	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.7¢	$252.2k 6.1× usual	100%	Pestle	287d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 96¢	$212.2k 4.5× usual	4%	0x7f69…9c7a	287d ago	missed	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 95¢	$210.0k 4.4× usual	95%	0x7f69…9c7a	287d ago	called	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$201.2k 2.2× usual	100%	expectless	287d ago	excluded
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$199.6k 2.2× usual	0%	expectless	287d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$194.3k 4.7× usual	100%	Pestle	287d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$191.7k 4.6× usual	98%	Pestle	287d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 95.8¢	$166.0k 5.9× usual	96%	0x6d77…b72c	287d ago	called	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$149.6k 5.3× usual	100%	0x6d77…b72c	287d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	HIGH SELL Yes @ 96.7¢	$140.5k 3.4× usual	3%	Pestle	287d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$132.2k 3.2× usual	100%	Pestle	287d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$110.8k 5.1× usual	100%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	287d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 96.6¢	$100.6k	97%	0x3b8d…2ce6	287d ago	called	Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$486.1k

MED wkmfa518 · 287d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 93.3¢$313.1k

HIGH 0x6d77…b72c · 287d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$252.2k

MED Pestle · 287d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 96¢$212.2k

MED 0x7f69…9c7a · 287d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 95¢$210.0k

MED 0x7f69…9c7a · 287d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$201.2k

LOW expectless · 287d ago

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$199.6k

LOW expectless · 287d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$194.3k

LOW Pestle · 287d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$191.7k

LOW Pestle · 287d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 95.8¢$166.0k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 287d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$149.6k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 287d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 96.7¢$140.5k

HIGH Pestle · 287d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$132.2k

LOW Pestle · 287d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$110.8k

LOW PROVEN ScottyNooo · 287d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 96.6¢$100.6k

MED 0x3b8d…2ce6 · 287d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$2.30M · 100 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$2.14M · 95 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$1.76M · 29 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

$466.0k · 6 flags

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

$301.4k · 12 flags

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$199.6k · 1 flags