Saturday, December 27, 2025

95 whale trades totalling $2.40M from 51 wallets. Biggest: $282.7k sell No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 98.7¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 98.7¢	$282.7k 3.5× usual	1%	0xce5b…047a	301d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$135.9k 2.7× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	300d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$90.0k	1%	0xce5b…047a	300d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$89.6k 3.2× usual	0%	TwoEyes	300d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$68.8k 2.1× usual	0%	wkmfa518	300d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$64.5k	100%	jwp9999	301d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$59.9k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	300d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 90¢	$57.6k	90%	0x57ee…ba2a	300d ago	called	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 90.6¢	$45.0k 2.1× usual	91%	TexMexTRex	300d ago	called	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$44.6k 2.3× usual	99%	0x9bcc…39eb	300d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 88¢	$42.3k	88%	0x57ee…ba2a	300d ago	called	Trade this
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$42.3k	100%	0x6327…e181	300d ago	excluded
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$42.3k	0%	0x6327…e181	300d ago	excluded
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$39.8k	100%	0x6327…e181	300d ago	excluded
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$38.7k	1%	0x6327…e181	300d ago	excluded

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$282.7k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 301d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$135.9k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 300d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$90.0k

LOW 0xce5b…047a · 300d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$89.6k

LOW TwoEyes · 300d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$68.8k

LOW wkmfa518 · 300d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$64.5k

LOW jwp9999 · 301d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$59.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 300d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 90¢$57.6k

MED 0x57ee…ba2a · 300d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 90.6¢$45.0k

LOW TexMexTRex · 300d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$44.6k

LOW 0x9bcc…39eb · 300d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 88¢$42.3k

LOW 0x57ee…ba2a · 300d ago

Trade this

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$42.3k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 300d ago

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$42.3k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 300d ago

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$39.8k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 300d ago

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$38.7k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 300d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$1.23M · 56 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$245.2k · 8 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$146.2k · 6 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$145.0k · 3 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$108.3k · 2 flags

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$84.6k · 2 flags