Friday, December 26, 2025

100 whale trades totalling $2.39M from 52 wallets. Biggest: $173.5k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.7¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$173.5k 2.9× usual	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	301d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$173.3k 2.9× usual	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	301d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$155.0k 3.1× usual	1%	0x6327…e181	301d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$107.6k	0%	0xff58…78f4	302d ago	excluded
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$86.5k	100%	0x6327…e181	301d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$84.7k 2.1× usual	0%	0x66fe…e123	301d ago	excluded
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$83.0k	1%	0x6327…e181	301d ago	excluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$54.9k	100%	0x6327…e181	301d ago	excluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$54.8k	0%	0x6327…e181	301d ago	excluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$48.3k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	301d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 13¢	$38.3k	13%	0x6d77…b72c	301d ago	missed	Trade this
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$35.0k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	301d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 84¢	$33.6k	16%	hild	301d ago	missed	Trade this
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$29.0k	100%	0x6327…e181	301d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 90¢	$27.5k	90%	0x603c…ac70	301d ago	called	Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$173.5k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 301d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$173.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 301d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$155.0k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 301d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$107.6k

LOW 0xff58…78f4 · 302d ago

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$86.5k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 301d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$84.7k

LOW 0x66fe…e123 · 301d ago

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$83.0k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 301d ago

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$54.9k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 301d ago

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$54.8k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 301d ago

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$48.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 301d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

BUY No @ 13¢$38.3k

MED 0x6d77…b72c · 301d ago

Trade this

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$35.0k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 301d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 84¢$33.6k

MED hild · 301d ago

Trade this

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$29.0k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 301d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 90¢$27.5k

LOW 0x603c…ac70 · 301d ago

Trade this

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$1.00M · 64 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$348.8k · 13 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$346.8k · 2 flags

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$169.4k · 2 flags

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$144.7k · 3 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$95.4k · 3 flags