Thursday, December 25, 2025

90 whale trades totalling $2.87M from 49 wallets. Biggest: $173.9k buy No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 98.8¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$173.9k 2.9× usual	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	302d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$173.7k 2.9× usual	1%	0x1fad…b5b2	302d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$156.6k 3.1× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$155.1k 3.1× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	302d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$133.9k 3.8× usual	100%	jwp9999	302d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$125.2k 2.4× usual	99%	0xdd57…694d	303d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.6¢	$115.9k	0%	0xce5b…047a	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$107.8k	99%	0xc6a2…1d6d	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 98.7¢	$107.6k	1%	0xc6a2…1d6d	303d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$100.0k	100%	0x5fc0…ae77	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$96.2k	1%	0xdd57…694d	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$79.5k	1%	0xdd57…694d	303d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$62.7k	0%	tsekinming01	303d ago	excluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$48.4k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	302d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$47.5k	1%	0xdd57…694d	303d ago	excluded

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$173.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 302d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$173.7k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 302d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$156.6k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$155.1k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 302d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$133.9k

LOW jwp9999 · 302d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$125.2k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 303d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$115.9k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$107.8k

LOW 0xc6a2…1d6d · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$107.6k

MED 0xc6a2…1d6d · 303d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$100.0k

LOW 0x5fc0…ae77 · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$96.2k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$79.5k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 303d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$62.7k

LOW tsekinming01 · 303d ago

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$48.4k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 302d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$47.5k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 303d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$1.90M · 60 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$338.9k · 6 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$161.9k · 2 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$88.3k · 4 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$74.7k · 4 flags

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$48.4k · 1 flags