Wednesday, December 24, 2025

74 whale trades totalling $2.66M from 41 wallets. Biggest: $567.2k sell No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.5¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.5¢	$567.2k 6.9× usual	0%	0xce5b…047a	304d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 99.6¢	$342.8k 4.2× usual	100%	0xce5b…047a	304d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 98.5¢	$307.4k 6.2× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	303d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$66.2k	0%	0xc5a3…423e	304d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$62.9k	98%	Pestle	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$62.6k	98%	0xdd57…694d	303d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$59.9k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	303d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$59.9k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	303d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢	$42.7k	87%	0x3a13…7ea6	304d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$40.6k	99%	0x4f9a…0135	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$40.6k	2%	0x4f9a…0135	303d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$38.6k	100%	jwp9999	304d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$34.6k	0%	0xce5b…047a	303d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY No @ 89¢	$30.0k	89%	Pestle	303d ago	called	Trade this
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$27.3k	100%	0x6327…e181	303d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$567.2k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 304d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$342.8k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 304d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$307.4k

MED 0x6327…e181 · 303d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$66.2k

LOW 0xc5a3…423e · 304d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$62.9k

LOW Pestle · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$62.6k

LOW 0xdd57…694d · 303d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$59.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 303d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$59.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 303d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 87¢$42.7k

LOW 0x3a13…7ea6 · 304d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$40.6k

LOW 0x4f9a…0135 · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$40.6k

LOW 0x4f9a…0135 · 303d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$38.6k

LOW jwp9999 · 304d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$34.6k

LOW 0xce5b…047a · 303d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 89¢$30.0k

MED Pestle · 303d ago

Trade this

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$27.3k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 303d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$1.03M · 43 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$991.4k · 6 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$179.8k · 7 flags

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$119.8k · 2 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

$76.6k · 3 flags

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$54.0k · 2 flags