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What this means. A wallet put $34.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$34.6k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 34,700 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet 0xce5b…047a took No (sell) for $34.6k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $34.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$34.6k
Placed
Dec 24, 11:44 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xce5b…047a
Tx
0xada63fbd…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-32.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $99.9k0% ClaudeAI269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k0% 0x2060…be52269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.7k0% 0xcc46…d7e2269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.3k0% 0x5ef1…8b83269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.2k0% 0xe9eb…1410269d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.3k0% 0x8c49…54fa269d agoexcluded