Tuesday, December 23, 2025

69 whale trades totalling $1.83M from 41 wallets. Biggest: $199.0k buy No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 99.5¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$199.0k 9.1× usual	100%	allen114	304d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$174.9k 3.0× usual	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	304d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$174.7k 3.0× usual	1%	0x1fad…b5b2	304d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 99.4¢	$134.7k	1%	0xce5b…047a	304d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$98.5k 3.5× usual	98%	0x6d77…b72c	304d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 93¢	$65.1k	93%	0x57ee…ba2a	304d ago	called	Trade this
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 86¢	$42.2k	86%	0x6d77…b72c	304d ago	called	Trade this
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢	$40.6k	100%	Eatpraylove	304d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$30.2k	0%	wkmfa518	304d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$27.1k	99%	0xf671…3d1f	304d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.4¢	$27.1k	2%	0xf671…3d1f	304d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢	$25.6k	1%	Tenebrus7	304d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$19.9k	99%	allen114	304d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$18.3k	100%	0x9c1a…5f56	304d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$18.3k	0%	0x9c1a…5f56	304d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$199.0k

LOW allen114 · 304d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$174.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 304d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$174.7k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 304d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$134.7k

MED 0xce5b…047a · 304d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$98.5k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 304d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 93¢$65.1k

LOW 0x57ee…ba2a · 304d ago

Trade this

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY No @ 86¢$42.2k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 304d ago

Trade this

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$40.6k

LOW Eatpraylove · 304d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$30.2k

LOW wkmfa518 · 304d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$27.1k

LOW 0xf671…3d1f · 304d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.4¢$27.1k

LOW 0xf671…3d1f · 304d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.2¢$25.6k

LOW Tenebrus7 · 304d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$19.9k

LOW allen114 · 304d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$18.3k

LOW 0x9c1a…5f56 · 304d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$18.3k

LOW 0x9c1a…5f56 · 304d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$803.8k · 51 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$703.2k · 5 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$107.0k · 5 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$65.1k · 1 flags

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$48.1k · 3 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

$42.2k · 1 flags