Sunday, December 14, 2025

48 whale trades totalling $1.77M from 29 wallets. Biggest: $178.3k sell No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 98.5¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢	$178.3k 3.0× usual	2%	0x1fad…b5b2	314d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	MED SELL No @ 99.4¢	$149.7k 4.7× usual	1%	wkmfa518	313d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$98.4k 2.6× usual	100%	tsekinming01	314d ago	excluded
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$92.7k	100%	0x6327…e181	314d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢	$78.4k 2.8× usual	77%	0x6d77…b72c	314d ago	called	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢	$77.4k 3.0× usual	92%	SwissMiss LOSING	314d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL Yes @ 77¢	$77.0k	23%	HH168	314d ago	missed	Trade this
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢	$70.6k	97%	0xb33c…4ac3	314d ago	excluded
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$60.3k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	314d ago	excluded
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$60.3k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	313d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢	$49.8k 2.4× usual	100%	Eatpraylove	313d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 77¢	$37.8k	77%	Istaroth	314d ago	called	Trade this
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$34.8k	100%	madril	314d ago	excluded
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$34.8k	100%	madril	314d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$34.8k	0%	madril	314d ago	excluded

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.5¢$178.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 314d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$149.7k

MED wkmfa518 · 313d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$98.4k

LOW tsekinming01 · 314d ago

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$92.7k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 314d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 77¢$78.4k

LOW 0x6d77…b72c · 314d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 91.9¢$77.4k

LOW LOSING SwissMiss · 314d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 77¢$77.0k

MED HH168 · 314d ago

Trade this

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 97.1¢$70.6k

LOW 0xb33c…4ac3 · 314d ago

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$60.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 314d ago

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$60.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 313d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$49.8k

LOW Eatpraylove · 313d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 77¢$37.8k

MED Istaroth · 314d ago

Trade this

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$34.8k

LOW madril · 314d ago

Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$34.8k

LOW madril · 314d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$34.8k

LOW madril · 314d ago

Most traded markets

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$352.0k · 8 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$230.7k · 3 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$222.5k · 5 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$141.2k · 6 flags

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$120.6k · 2 flags

Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$108.7k · 4 flags