Saturday, December 13, 2025

30 whale trades totalling $1.37M from 22 wallets. Biggest: $279.0k sell No on “Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?” at 98.9¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 98.9¢	$279.0k 3.8× usual	1%	0xea8e…3de0	314d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢	$178.6k 3.0× usual	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	314d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢	$160.0k 3.2× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	314d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢	$159.7k 3.2× usual	1%	0x6327…e181	314d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$55.6k	99%	jwp9999	314d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢	$53.9k 3.3× usual	77%	redvinny	314d ago	called	Trade this
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$42.9k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	314d ago	excluded
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$39.9k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	314d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$37.8k	100%	0x1fad…b5b2	314d ago	excluded
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢	$37.3k	0%	0x1fad…b5b2	314d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$32.6k	98%	Trump2028	314d ago	excluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	MED BUY Yes @ 78¢	$31.2k	78%	0x1569…4e0c	314d ago	called	Trade this
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 77¢	$23.1k	23%	simpleman	314d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99¢	$20.0k	1%	0x3d9b…4855	314d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢	$19.8k	99%	0x5fbd…fb37	314d ago	excluded

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.9¢$279.0k

MED 0xea8e…3de0 · 314d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.7¢$178.6k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 314d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.1¢$160.0k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 314d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.9¢$159.7k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 314d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$55.6k

LOW jwp9999 · 314d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 77¢$53.9k

LOW redvinny · 314d ago

Trade this

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$42.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 314d ago

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$39.9k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 314d ago

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$37.8k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 314d ago

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?excluded

SELL No @ 99.8¢$37.3k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 314d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$32.6k

LOW Trump2028 · 314d ago

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?called

BUY Yes @ 78¢$31.2k

MED 0x1569…4e0c · 314d ago

Trade this

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?missed

SELL Yes @ 77¢$23.1k

LOW simpleman · 314d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99¢$20.0k

LOW 0x3d9b…4855 · 314d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.6¢$19.8k

LOW 0x5fbd…fb37 · 314d ago

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$669.8k · 8 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$198.4k · 2 flags

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

$161.5k · 6 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$75.8k · 3 flags

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?

$75.1k · 2 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$57.5k · 3 flags