← Wallets
−$7,553Yes · avg 84¢ → 74¢ · $53.7k+$5,513Yes · avg 52¢ → 71¢ · $20.4k+$2,645Yes · avg 63¢ → 74¢ · $17.3k−$63Yes · avg 75¢ → 74¢ · $9,094+$252Yes · avg 65¢ → 68¢ · $6,715+$909No · avg 70¢ → 87¢ · $4,590+$242No · avg 80¢ → 86¢ · $3,413−$140No · avg 82¢ → 78¢ · $3,134
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +3.7 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+3.7 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$573.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$90.7k
Last 30 days +$312 · $7.66M volume · 8,549 trades · since Jan 12, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$194.0k
Open P&L · 103 positions
−$119
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
649d
1510 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 4 | 1 | 0.9 | +3.7 pts |
History
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