{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa04e4b0135405d9f5ca25911d9466bb3a112d3aff3c50d000b332fcb9458e615:0","id":"trade:0xa04e4b0135405d9f5ca25911d9466bb3a112d3aff3c50d000b332fcb9458e615:0","implied":0.82,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.82,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1789152394,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":31400.00000014,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x32ccb9f92ce3a713fc3fefd6b0d33948a7d10c663fb280638c708418b4352f55:0","id":"trade:0x32ccb9f92ce3a713fc3fefd6b0d33948a7d10c663fb280638c708418b4352f55:0","implied":0.1959806625,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8040193375,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1789146063,"title":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":25746.942400701624,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x894d3c80cdfd70ee32208b360721a41dd32bc23e03dbcb89566f2c517df1fdc9:1","id":"trade:0x894d3c80cdfd70ee32208b360721a41dd32bc23e03dbcb89566f2c517df1fdc9:1","implied":0.0050000000000000044,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.995,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1788451858,"title":"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":15123.9602,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x12dbaa63970344ba8b87e74c4a53f1522e74ab9eefd2901340f4988a59aa8821:0","id":"trade:0x12dbaa63970344ba8b87e74c4a53f1522e74ab9eefd2901340f4988a59aa8821:0","implied":0.30000000000000004,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.7,"result":"called","side":"SELL","status":"called","t":1787159440,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","usd":10500.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xc9016fc6e9f9e93ada350eaa7506669522f557ed0462e774192aebc4c66fcf46:0","id":"trade:0xc9016fc6e9f9e93ada350eaa7506669522f557ed0462e774192aebc4c66fcf46:0","implied":0.18999999999999995,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.81,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1783471390,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":10153.188,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x8bf1c1536ecb1c08fe13c6b71e8ab1f58bf3461c4cb79f5f1679f869a06aef86","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb2496e691881fae928da4b49da240fa0fa865b2c6bbebca9a7ad5ab5862b2076:0","id":"trade:0xb2496e691881fae928da4b49da240fa0fa865b2c6bbebca9a7ad5ab5862b2076:0","implied":0.13278826480000006,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.8672117352,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1783350178,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?","usd":40860.05109848962,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe639e86687c8a60bcebfa057c624316cdc14e0620d03329ef74872bb88d9e612:0","id":"trade:0xe639e86687c8a60bcebfa057c624316cdc14e0620d03329ef74872bb88d9e612:0","implied":0.987,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.987,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780664118,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":24999.999967005,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xde04b189b3f19eaccda02529a3ea67abfc46bff5c0c8fc42d8a2d0ed7b8f0d41","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xcb284c6eed4e910d21eac472feb5f354cd611ecbe19ed3ff9357af41e037bcab:0","id":"trade:0xcb284c6eed4e910d21eac472feb5f354cd611ecbe19ed3ff9357af41e037bcab:0","implied":0.982,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.982,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780496668,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?","usd":10403.69098,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xb6bed7a8b7058891c897ce2554d971768f4a110065ecf6af3badfa832d7f0f9d:0","id":"trade:0xb6bed7a8b7058891c897ce2554d971768f4a110065ecf6af3badfa832d7f0f9d:0","implied":0.9909999999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9909999999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1776356834,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":15499.999997326924,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2f218c7c101da4519c1673b612440847306e8316fd56c3d7f41cc615fecbb8f7:0","id":"trade:0x2f218c7c101da4519c1673b612440847306e8316fd56c3d7f41cc615fecbb8f7:0","implied":0.989,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.989,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1776253060,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":31999.999998296,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x7196335a11897aecc88747c687bc8e50dcce262dd9212accbc6d60115c022717:0","id":"trade:0x7196335a11897aecc88747c687bc8e50dcce262dd9212accbc6d60115c022717:0","implied":0.9824398015,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9824398015,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1775824693,"title":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?","usd":24999.999998771404,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x40ef8772e949035e9948e7ee6dea9f566bb67f63bfcb791ed7340e98e55a76ce:1","id":"trade:0x40ef8772e949035e9948e7ee6dea9f566bb67f63bfcb791ed7340e98e55a76ce:1","implied":0.0050000000000001155,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9949999999999999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1774806720,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":91002.89899999999,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa9d56bd2de5af61d5f351d34adfaead092587aecef3305ce280396ea62aa3101:1","id":"trade:0xa9d56bd2de5af61d5f351d34adfaead092587aecef3305ce280396ea62aa3101:1","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1774804916,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":60759.339998352,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0x7cb525e831729325d651017f81cbcb6f1adde5011c7b2283babea00b4ae93ae7","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x42fbfd3b54ff275d462b479407a8acd6dfee191e7d87ccd6e1f67db19c0c9b96:1","id":"trade:0x42fbfd3b54ff275d462b479407a8acd6dfee191e7d87ccd6e1f67db19c0c9b96:1","implied":0.985,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.985,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1774033551,"title":"Netanyahu out by March 31?","usd":29999.999942005,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xd25b2fc3a916b317d71b398c5d0f81ad33fe1da6b56d6c9f717332d31584504e","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x87d643d7b17d61ac646d342360eefe64854d3d4a31757f220304855c770f2d09:1","id":"trade:0x87d643d7b17d61ac646d342360eefe64854d3d4a31757f220304855c770f2d09:1","implied":0.016704704899999978,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9832952951,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1774033477,"title":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?","usd":30904.892461369393,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xd25b2fc3a916b317d71b398c5d0f81ad33fe1da6b56d6c9f717332d31584504e","excluded_reason":"price_band","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x686e1c0655cc66252657762ac1ffcbe5678f0d02f9ed0cd8b730f53ffa901b15:1","id":"trade:0x686e1c0655cc66252657762ac1ffcbe5678f0d02f9ed0cd8b730f53ffa901b15:1","implied":0.989049043,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.989049043,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1773868337,"title":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?","usd":49999.99999917248,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xd25b2fc3a916b317d71b398c5d0f81ad33fe1da6b56d6c9f717332d31584504e","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x21a17021f5d76649ed02543a4382b46ab271a2850e3bdc8d41b00523a0d6b8b0:1","id":"trade:0x21a17021f5d76649ed02543a4382b46ab271a2850e3bdc8d41b00523a0d6b8b0:1","implied":0.05980403499999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.940195965,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1772641443,"title":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?","usd":11570.26779036195,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xd25b2fc3a916b317d71b398c5d0f81ad33fe1da6b56d6c9f717332d31584504e","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x44a243fbbe92bc52c754086b2b22865283b97eece9708d328f081683e3a64e13:1","id":"trade:0x44a243fbbe92bc52c754086b2b22865283b97eece9708d328f081683e3a64e13:1","implied":0.9466961662,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.9466961662,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1772570753,"title":"Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?","usd":23300.539983326093,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x119be93bcff4daebc670700443846782268c37004f0a64dc54d2dbb14301a505:0","id":"trade:0x119be93bcff4daebc670700443846782268c37004f0a64dc54d2dbb14301a505:0","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1769628864,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":10989.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"},{"condition_id":"0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x657994da824fa61eedbbb2742731ee00d8f4b95e6a0a925449ccd82d9786e536:0","id":"trade:0x657994da824fa61eedbbb2742731ee00d8f4b95e6a0a925449ccd82d9786e536:0","implied":0.22999999999999998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.77,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"missed","t":1765631171,"title":"No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?","usd":23098.821900000003,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":0.03680293379999999,"exp_rate":0.2131970662,"expected":0.8527882648,"hit":0.25,"n":4,"se":0.2025085710425927},"wallet":"0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c"}