Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $111.5k 5 flags |
$39.5k 1 wallet |
$36.3k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $110.0k 3 flags |
none | $70.0k 1 wallet |
| No | $26.1k 2 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.2k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 95¢ | $70.0k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $39.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $16.5k | called |
| MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ | $29.0k | missed |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $13.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $23.2k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 90.8¢ | $13.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $12.4k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 10 whale trades on this market totalling $247.5k from 7 wallets. The largest was $70.0k (sell Yes at 95¢). Most whale money ($111.5k) went to Yes. 5 of 10 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, aenews2 ($106.3k), has called 12 of 20 graded flags overall (-17.8 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (israel-closes-its-airspace-by-september-30).