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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?called
$16.5k
BUY Yes @ 94¢ · 17,549 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Stonktrader took Yes (buy) for $16.5k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
94¢
Implied odds
94.0%
Size
$16.5k
Placed
Sep 07, 17:35 EDT
Market close
Sep 20, 12:51 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Stonktrader
Tx
0x372eea8e…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+6.5 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ $19.2k96% FlyingPlaty47d agocalled
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?MED SELL Yes @ 95¢ $70.0k
2.5× usual
5% aenews2 LOSING47d agomissed
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ $39.5k95% ScottyNooo PROVEN47d agocalled
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ $29.0k25% JustAProfessor47d agomissed
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ $11.0k19% JustAProfessor47d agomissed
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ $13.1k70% aenews2 LOSING48d agocalled