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What this means. A wallet put $39.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$39.5k
BUY Yes @ 95¢ · 41,569 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took Yes (buy) for $39.5k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $39.5k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $39.5k
- Placed
- Sep 07, 17:39 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 12:51 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x7e555e36…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.2k | called |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 95¢ | $70.0k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $16.5k | called |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ | $29.0k | missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $11.0k | missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $13.1k | called |