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What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -17.8 pts vs the price over 20 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.1k
BUY Yes @ 70¢ · 18,612 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet aenews2 took Yes (buy) for $13.1k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−236American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.2%
- Size
- $13.1k
- Placed
- Sep 06, 02:59 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 12:51 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aenews2
- Tx
- 0x175b7816…
This wallet's graded record
12/20-17.8 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 96¢ | $19.2k | called |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 95¢ | $70.0k 2.5× usual |
missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $39.5k | called |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $16.5k | called |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ | $29.0k | missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $11.0k | missed |