← Wallets
−$3,500Yes · avg 29¢ → 26¢ · $25.5k+$1,118Yes · avg 82¢ → 95¢ · $8,214−$22Yes · avg 59¢ → 58¢ · $5,690+$448No · avg 86¢ → 95.5¢ · $4,479+$478No · avg 78¢ → 88¢ · $4,326+$252Yes · avg 80¢ → 89¢ · $2,617+$742No · avg 69¢ → 97¢ · $2,576+$417No · avg 80¢ → 96.4¢ · $2,401
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +6.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+6.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.9
Flagged volume
$309.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$99.6k
Last 30 days +$63.8k · $2.88M volume · 1,481 trades · since May 02, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 472 closed
+$1.54M
Open P&L · 167 positions
−$1.27M
Closed-position win rate
94%
472 closed
Wallet age · markets
176d
589 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +7.0 pts |
History
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