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JustAProfessor

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -22.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-22.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$39.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.8k
Last 30 days −$12.7k · $2.15M volume · 1,718 trades · since Feb 25, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$61.0k
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$44.8k
Closed-position win rate
32%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
241d
33 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other200.4-22.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?MED SELL Yes @ 75¢ $29.0k25% 46d agomissed
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 81¢ $11.0k19% 47d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x57cc54…