Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $1.69M 7 flags |
none | $109.6k 1 wallet |
| Not Yes | $563.3k 7 flags |
none | $199.8k 1 wallet |
| No | $300.6k 7 flags |
$16.3k 1 wallet |
$33.6k 1 wallet |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $239.2k 11.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 74¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $79.2k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $1.50M | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $59.4k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $74.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $109.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 56¢ | $33.6k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 21 whale trades on this market totalling $2.55M from 17 wallets. The largest was $1.50M (buy Yes at 49¢). Most whale money ($1.69M) went to Yes. 7 of 21 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, blindStaking ($1.50M), has called 0 of 1 graded flags overall (-46.8 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (lal-mad-bar-2026-04-04-bar).