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What this means. A wallet put $16.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.3k
BUY No @ 74¢ · 21,972 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $16.3k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.3k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−285American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 74.0%
- As American odds
- −285 no vig
- Size
- $16.3k
- Placed
- Apr 04, 15:40 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 04, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x807fc8c4…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -74 ptsNo price · entry 74¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $239.2k 11.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |