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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -69.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-69.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$64.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$12.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.36M volume · 1,072 trades · since Feb 08, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$12.7k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
47%
242 closed
Wallet age · markets
258d
241 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -69.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 83¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW SELL 76ers @ 99¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $10.5k | missed |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2f4e5b…