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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
1
Net whale flow → outcome 1
+$15.1k
Price 7d ago → now
0.7¢→0.4¢
Category
Other

Outcome price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Smart gap
Proven money leans Yes at 0.4¢
Among the biggest holders: 1 proven wallet hold $45 of Yes; proven money on the other side $0, losing-record money there $0. Net +$45.
Based on 1 rated wallet among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 0.4¢1 proven · $45
  1. TexasOx$2,448
  2. NWORobotics$289
  3. xasd-440$230
  4. lifeswhatyoumakeit$151
  5. anna003$143
  6. agbob$53
  7. UAPPolly$51
  8. neutralwave23 PROVEN +0.0 pts$45
  9. 0xe1ee…f345$39
  10. BabyGroot$27
  11. 0x6918…49ea$18
  12. SARIK64$16
No 99.6¢no rated wallets
  1. elmcap2$221.9k
  2. Avamax$111.9k
  3. 0xad96…d498$77.5k
  4. The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA$55.0k
  5. Dafu0715$49.8k
  6. Trump2028$40.4k
  7. AlexiosV$29.4k
  8. 57284910$24.7k
  9. JamesBonder007$23.8k
  10. Krejza68$14.0k
  11. wish-$13.4k
  12. Lolololol$13.3k

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
Not No$15.1k
1 flag
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $15.1k1% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM2d agopending
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?pending
SELL No @ 99.5¢$15.1k
LOW The Spirit of Ukraine>UM · 2d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 1 whale trade on this market totalling $15.1k from 1 wallet. The largest was $15.1k (sell No at 99.5¢). Most whale money ($15.1k) went against No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, The Spirit of Ukraine>UM ($15.1k), has called 12 of 14 graded flags overall (+2.3 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-october-31-396).