← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.1k
SELL No @ 99.5¢ · 15,172 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (sell) for $15.1k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 0.5%
- Size
- $15.1k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 12:19 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0xab328b21…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.1 ptsNo price · entry 99.5¢ · now 99.6¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.