Daily recap
Saturday, May 9, 2026
190 whale trades totalling $20.21M from 147 wallets. Biggest: $3.24M buy Yes on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?” at 99.9¢. 6 of 24 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 15.9 expected (-41.1 pts).
Whale trades
190
Volume
$20.21M
Wallets
147
Resolved edge
-41.1 pts
Biggest trades
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $3.24M 14.5× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.09M 45.5× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.62M 44.2× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.27M 61.6× usual |
excluded |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | MED BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ | $863.9k 18.4× usual |
missed |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $848.8k 30.1× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $519.1k 18.1× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $492.9k 5.9× usual |
excluded |
| UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims) | HIGH BUY Jared Gordon @ 72¢ | $450.6k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
 Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $426.9k | excluded |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | MED BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 81¢ | $386.4k 8.2× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $380.5k 16.2× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $299.7k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $262.1k | excluded |
 LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner | MED SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢ | $256.9k 6.3× usual |
excluded |
Most traded markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$13.73M · 48 flags
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.63M · 45 flags
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)$682.2k · 6 flags
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?$531.7k · 3 flags
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$482.7k · 11 flags
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$388.1k · 5 flags
Resolved today
missed167d ago
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
BUYKhamzat Chimaev@ 82¢→Sean Strickland
$863.9k · SecondWindCapitalimplied 82%
called168d ago
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
BUYSean Strickland@ 18¢→Sean Strickland
$135.6k · Golgathaimplied 18%
missed169d ago
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
BUYKhamzat Chimaev@ 83¢→Sean Strickland
$117.2k · thechainsmokersimplied 83%
missed167d ago
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
BUYKhamzat Chimaev@ 82¢→Sean Strickland
$77.7k · jestoimplied 82%
called167d ago
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
BUYSean Strickland@ 18¢→Sean Strickland
$70.5k · TimeToFireimplied 18%
missed168d ago
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
BUYKhamzat Chimaev@ 82¢→Sean Strickland
$44.6k · vvvbbbbimplied 82%
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