Monday, February 9, 2026

187 whale trades totalling $8.67M from 129 wallets. Biggest: $930.6k buy Yes on “US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?” at 99.9¢. 4 of 6 flags that resolved today called the outcome vs 4.5 expected (-9.0 pts).

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$930.6k 6.0× usual	100%	MarcoGPT	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$316.3k 2.0× usual	100%	MarcoGPT	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.5¢	$300.0k	100%	everbased	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.6¢	$290.2k 8.4× usual	100%	hild	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$288.8k	98%	0xf50a…e795	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$268.1k 10.5× usual	98%	SwissMiss LOSING	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$243.8k 6.0× usual	98%	onekey09	256d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$237.9k 5.2× usual	100%	4gibg4i3o	256d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$176.7k 3.9× usual	100%	4gibg4i3o	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$167.3k 8.5× usual	97%	0x5fbd…fb37	257d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$147.0k 7.4× usual	98%	0x5fbd…fb37	256d ago	excluded
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$146.9k 3.6× usual	100%	onekey09	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	MED SELL No @ 99.5¢	$146.2k 4.2× usual	0%	hild	256d ago	excluded
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$140.5k	97%	0x15cb…e25f	256d ago	excluded
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$128.2k 4.8× usual	99%	pwnatorul	257d ago	excluded

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$930.6k

LOW MarcoGPT · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$316.3k

LOW MarcoGPT · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$300.0k

MED everbased · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.6¢$290.2k

MED hild · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$288.8k

LOW 0xf50a…e795 · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$268.1k

LOW LOSING SwissMiss · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$243.8k

LOW onekey09 · 256d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$237.9k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 256d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$176.7k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$167.3k

LOW 0x5fbd…fb37 · 257d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$147.0k

LOW 0x5fbd…fb37 · 256d ago

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$146.9k

LOW onekey09 · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

SELL No @ 99.5¢$146.2k

MED hild · 256d ago

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$140.5k

LOW 0x15cb…e25f · 256d ago

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$128.2k

LOW pwnatorul · 257d ago

Most traded markets

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

$4.99M · 89 flags

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

$1.21M · 14 flags

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

$466.7k · 4 flags

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$286.9k · 17 flags

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

$273.4k · 12 flags

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

$246.8k · 2 flags