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Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Alert me on this market
Yes
2.7¢
No
97.3¢
Volume
$1.45M

No $10k+ trade on this market has been flagged yet, so there are no graded flags here. You can still see who holds each side, and big trades as they happen.

Smart gap
Proven money leans No at 97.3¢
Among the biggest holders: 1 proven wallet hold $4,865 of No; proven money on the other side $0, losing-record money there $330. Net +$5,195.
Based on 2 rated wallets among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 2.7¢1 losing · $330
  1. Rufr$630
  2. marketsbetts$446
  3. aenews2 LOSING -17.8 pts$330
  4. 0x0cf2…bd92$292
  5. 0xa301…02a3$156
  6. 0x38d9…a783$127
  7. 0x47eb…c8de$104
  8. moon-k58-lad$104
  9. yugopnik$77
  10. Hyperlong$76
  11. cmidujwd293$67
  12. greenlandcw$62
No 97.3¢1 proven · $4,865
  1. keribit$27.2k
  2. occasionalAwareness$26.8k
  3. 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04$20.8k
  4. 0x8931…a90c$7,747
  5. jsmp1$5,075
  6. gipsplug$4,865
  7. 0x8b4b…541b PROVEN +1.0 pts$4,865
  8. End123$4,865
  9. Car$3,892
  10. AxiaSystem$3,508
  11. SMB3BC$3,406
  12. backmm1982$3,114

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

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Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.