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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

OpenResolves Oct 31?Alert me on this market
Flags
1
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$11.4k
Price 7d ago → now
1.1¢→0.4¢
Category
Other

Outcome price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● open ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 0.4¢no rated wallets
  1. Fesfouss$83
  2. gambler13$70
  3. WCBT$69
  4. tetrose$53
  5. -FROMTHEFUTURE-$53
  6. TheReturnOfDarthMaul$52
  7. 881112$44
  8. 0xfa39…977f$38
  9. PMPD$35
  10. illumination$32
  11. Crock95$27
  12. VladimirPooper$22
No 99.7¢no rated wallets
  1. hopedieslast$47.4k
  2. TerreMoto$27.1k
  3. smartrandom$17.4k
  4. MonacoLover$17.3k
  5. MisTKy$13.6k
  6. noreasapa$12.1k
  7. 18in36out$12.0k
  8. nedsta$10.6k
  9. simplcom$9,965
  10. kevtp$9,965
  11. Skaliz$7,041
  12. Outsmarter$6,776

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$11.4k
1 flag
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $11.4k99% noreasapa16h agoOpenResolves Oct 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?OpenResolves Oct 31
BUY No @ 99.5¢$11.4k
LOW noreasapa · 16h ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 1 whale trade on this market totalling $11.4k from 1 wallet. The largest was $11.4k (buy No at 99.5¢). Most whale money ($11.4k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, noreasapa ($11.4k), has no graded flags yet.

Market data from Polymarket (russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-by-october-31-2026).