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Polymarket · Other · one bet
OpenResolves Oct 31
$11.4k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
noreasapa bought No at 99.5¢. The price gave that side a 99% chance. 11,481 shares, Oct 28, 15:09 EDT.
Plain exchange link. No referral code.
What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet noreasapa bought No for $11.4k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied 99% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It still counts toward the score.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $11.4k+0
Near-certain price-2
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−19787American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
[04] Price
Price since the bet
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.2 ptsNo price · entry 99.5¢ · now 99.7¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.