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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Resolved: No
Flags
21
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$336.6k
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$610.3k
12 flags
none none
Not No$273.6k
9 flags
none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.7k0% thoodr100d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% 0x9631…89a1107d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $283.8k
5.7× usual
100% elmcap2108d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $37.9k0% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM108d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $15.6k0% zthunderfury108d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $79.4k
3.3× usual
0% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM109d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $67.3k
2.8× usual
0% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM109d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% sharrdio109d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $21.6k0% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM109d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $20.7k100% Trump2028110d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $15.0k100% Parz1vaI110d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $12.2k0% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM111d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $134.2k
5.6× usual
99% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM112d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $19.5k99% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM112d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $23.8k99% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM113d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ $12.6k1% Theonlyone113d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ $18.8k99% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM114d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $18.6k98% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM114d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢ $13.3k98% 0x9631…89a1114d agoexcluded
MED BUY No @ 97¢ $36.9k97% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM114d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $10.7k96% 0xebab…cff5115d agocalled

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 21 whale trades on this market totalling $883.9k from 10 wallets. The largest was $283.8k (buy No at 99.8¢). Most whale money ($610.3k) went to No. 12 of 21 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, The Spirit of Ukraine>UM ($470.1k), has called 12 of 14 graded flags overall (+2.3 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-7-20260625174256255).