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What this means. A wallet put $20.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.7k
BUY No @ 99.7¢ · 20,806 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Trump2028 took No (buy) for $20.7k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $20.7k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 22:41 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Trump2028
- Tx
- 0xcf7a00ad…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+6.8 pts
expected 12.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $283.8k 5.7× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $37.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $79.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded |