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What this means. A wallet put $36.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$36.9k
BUY No @ 97¢ · 38,062 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet The Spirit of Ukraine>UM took No (buy) for $36.9k at an average 97¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $36.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3233American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97¢
- Implied odds
- 97.0%
- Size
- $36.9k
- Placed
- Jul 01, 10:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- The Spirit of Ukraine>UM
- Tx
- 0xffa8b752…
This wallet's graded record
12/14+2.3 pts
expected 11.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +3 ptsNo price · entry 97¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $283.8k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $37.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $79.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded |