National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | $386.1k 2 flags |
none | none |
| Valentin Vacherot | $323.7k 7 flags |
none | none |
| Not Mariano Navone | $94.8k 1 flag |
none | none |
| Not Valentin Vacherot | $13.6k 1 flag |
none | none |
No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Mariano Navone @ 99.9¢ | $94.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 24¢ | $13.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 25¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Mariano Navone @ 78¢ | $57.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 71¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 66¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| MED BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 64¢ | $108.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 75¢ | $90.3k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 82¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Mariano Navone @ 39¢ | $328.4k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 62¢ | $69.5k 2.8× usual |
missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 11 whale trades on this market totalling $818.2k from 7 wallets. The largest was $328.4k (buy Mariano Navone at 39¢). Most whale money ($386.1k) went to Mariano Navone. 3 of 11 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0x2c33…0563 ($432.5k), has called 27 of 54 graded flags overall (-3.7 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (atp-vachero-navone-2026-08-06).