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What this means. A wallet put $69.5k on Valentin Vacherot, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonemissed
$69.5k
BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 62¢ · 112,432 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10k4 fills in 1h2.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet tennischamp took Valentin Vacherot (buy) for $69.5k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Mariano Navone, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $69.5k+1
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−162American odds
$1.00paid per share if Valentin Vacherot wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
61.8%
As American odds
−162 no vig
Size
$69.5k
Placed
Aug 05, 08:32 EDT
Market close
Aug 05, 11:05 EDT
Result
Mariano Navone
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tennischamp
Tx
0x80f0de2e…
This wallet's graded record
5/6+12.3 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -62 pts
Valentin Vacherot price · entry 62¢ · resolved Mariano Navone
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $69.5k WHALE $69.5K @ 62¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW SELL Mariano Navone @ 99.9¢ $94.8k
3.8× usual
0% tennischamp79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 24¢ $13.8k24% 0x2c33…056379d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 25¢ $14.4k25% RiskIsForLosers79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Mariano Navone @ 78¢ $57.7k
2.3× usual
78% tennischamp79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 71¢ $15.0k71% Marcoli79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 66¢ $12.4k66% 0x9e3e…f88279d agoexcluded