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What this means. A wallet put $90.3k on Valentin Vacherot, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navoneexcluded
$90.3k
BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 75¢ · 120,197 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $10k5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Valentin Vacherot (buy) for $90.3k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Mariano Navone. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $90.3k+1
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−302American odds
$1.00paid per share if Valentin Vacherot wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
75¢
Implied odds
75.1%
As American odds
−302 no vig
Size
$90.3k
Placed
Aug 05, 11:46 EDT
Market close
Aug 05, 11:05 EDT
Result
Mariano Navone
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x2c33…0563
Tx
0x87d97acc…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -75 pts
Valentin Vacherot price · entry 75¢ · resolved Mariano Navone
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 75¢ · $90.3k WHALE $90.3K @ 75¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW SELL Mariano Navone @ 99.9¢ $94.8k
3.8× usual
0% tennischamp79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 24¢ $13.8k24% 0x2c33…056379d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 25¢ $14.4k25% RiskIsForLosers79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Mariano Navone @ 78¢ $57.7k
2.3× usual
78% tennischamp79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 71¢ $15.0k71% Marcoli79d agoexcluded
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneLOW BUY Valentin Vacherot @ 66¢ $12.4k66% 0x9e3e…f88279d agoexcluded