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What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 89% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.8k
SELL Yes @ 11¢ · 120,884 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet tetrose took Yes (sell) for $12.8k at an average 11¢. At that price the market implied a 89% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 11¢
- Implied odds
- 89.4%
- Size
- $12.8k
- Placed
- Jan 04, 11:07 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 02:41 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tetrose
- Tx
- 0xfe1dc99b…
This wallet's graded record
7/14+1.6 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $156.2k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $28.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $24.3k | called |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $89.4k 3.9× usual |
called |