← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $28.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.2k
BUY No @ 97.3¢ · 29,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Ovrrep took No (buy) for $28.2k at an average 97.3¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3591American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.3¢
- Implied odds
- 97.3%
- Size
- $28.2k
- Placed
- Jan 12, 16:30 EST
- Market close
- Feb 01, 02:41 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Ovrrep
- Tx
- 0x9a083898…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+29.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $156.2k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 96.7¢ | $10.6k | missed |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 96.9¢ | $24.3k | called |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $89.4k 3.9× usual |
called |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $10.6k | called |