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+$211No · avg 92¢ → 97.4¢ · $3,842+$222No · avg 88¢ → 96.4¢ · $2,712+$211No · avg 90¢ → 98¢ · $2,599−$91No · avg 81¢ → 74¢ · $899
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +29.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+29.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$54.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$7,683
Last 30 days +$29 · $274.6k volume · 59 trades · since Nov 13, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$22.0k
Open P&L · 10 positions
−$14.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
18 closed
Wallet age · markets
345d
28 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +29.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $13.8k | called |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 97.3¢ | $28.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd71342…