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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 12,837 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Ovrrep took No (buy) for $12.6k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6513American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Feb 10, 11:26 EST
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Ovrrep
- Tx
- 0x5e4f863f…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+29.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $90.7k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $12.3k | excluded |