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2100m

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?−$79No · avg 96.2¢ → 95.2¢ · $7,201Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?−$35No · avg 72¢ → 71¢ · $1,596Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?+$36No · avg 90.6¢ → 96.8¢ · $572Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?+$8No · avg 94¢ → 95.5¢ · $497Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?+$13No · avg 88¢ → 90.5¢ · $467Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?+$12No · avg 93¢ → 97.2¢ · $280Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?+$4No · avg 84¢ → 86¢ · $168Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?−$0No · avg 95¢ → 94.8¢ · $129
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$95.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2,523
Last 30 days −$85 · $1.28M volume · 1,791 trades · since Sep 20, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$2,635
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$55
Closed-position win rate
91%
169 closed
Wallet age · markets
399d
178 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $10.2k100% 129d agoexcluded
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $10.1k0% 129d agoexcluded
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $13.9k100% 211d agoexcluded
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $12.3k100% 212d agoexcluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $12.0k100% 212d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $37.4k
3.1× usual
100% 213d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$10.2k
LOW 2100m · 129d ago
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$10.1k
LOW 2100m · 129d ago
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$13.9k
LOW 2100m · 211d ago
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$12.3k
LOW 2100m · 212d ago
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$12.0k
LOW 2100m · 212d ago
Trump out as President by March 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$37.4k
LOW 2100m · 213d ago

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