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What this means. A wallet put $12.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.3k
BUY No @ 99.8¢ · 12,329 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 2100m took No (buy) for $12.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $12.3k
- Placed
- Mar 26, 05:03 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 2100m
- Tx
- 0x3a40596e…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $90.7k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $10.2k | excluded |